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One Book One Northwestern

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Take the challenge

All students, faculty and staff are invited to test their powers of prognostication with NUpredicts, an app inspired by this year’s One Book selection. Predict the outcomes of events all year, including sports, the election, and awards shows.

Steve Carr, Faculty Chair

A Note from Steve Carr, One Book One Northwestern Faculty Chair

At year’s end it is possible to see the breadth and depth of this domain, making predictions from information that inevitably contains unidentified but confounding information (and sometimes just plain human bias). Nate Silver admitted to all this when trying to explain why the FiveThirtyEight.com predictions in the Michigan Democratic primary were surprisingly off the mark. Later, in the presidential election he pointed out that even in aggregating data from multiple, highly trusted polls the errors creep in and suggest an outcome that doesn’t happen.

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