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Swine Flu Scenarios: Computer Simulations

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May 1, 2009 | by Brendan Cosgrove

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EVANSTON, Ill. --- Large-scale computer simulations run by Northwestern University researchers show worst-case scenario projections of approximately 1,700 cases of swine flu for the entire United States four weeks from now. 



Associate Professor Dirk Brockmann and his research group have found that the major areas projected to have incidents in the worst-case scenario include California, Texas and Florida. Worst-case scenario means that no measures have been taken to combat the spread of disease. These numbers would, of course, be lessened by preventive measures already under way. Brockmann discusses the simulations.