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WP-95-16

Government Cutbacks in Hospital Reimbursement:
Who Bears the Burden?

David Dranove and William D. White

Abstract

During the past decade, there have been substantial cutbacks in Medicaid reimbursements to hospitals in relation to the costs of providiing care. We use data from California for fiscal years 1983 and 1992 to explore the question of who bears the burden of these cutbacks. One widely discussed hypothesis is that hospitals offset the cutbacks by raising prices and revenues from privately insured patients, i.e., there is "cost-shifting." Under this hypothesis, neither Meidicaid patients nor hospitals suffer; the burden falls on privately insured pateints. An alternative hypothesis is that hospitals respond to lower Medicaid payments by reducing the services they provide to Medicaid patients. Finally, the burden may fall on hospitals, through reduced profitability. We find little evidence of cost-shifting. Rather, we find support for the latter two hypotheses. We cannot rule out the possibility, however, that hospitals do cost-shift to some extent. The reductions in services and profitability that we measure may in part be due to the changes in the private insurance marketplace. Even then, our paper provides powerful evidence that the hardest-hit hospitals—those that depend on Medicaid for a disproportionate amount of revenue—cannot cost-shift their way to financial security.

David Danove, Kellogg Graduate School of Management, Northwestern University
Wiliam D. White
, University of Illinois at Chicago



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