In response to a question from John Elston regarding contingency plans if the endowment drops even more, Bienen said that the Trustees will set the parameter and leave its execution to the managers of the University. The Faculty Senate and the GFC are welcome to suggest priorities, but the Trustees look to University management to make the decisions about priorities. Contingency plans have not been based on specific cuts but on responses to liquidity issues. Decisions about faculty salaries and tuition will have to be made with the Budget Committee of the Trustees later on. Given the present volatility, new information will come to light between now and January. Besides the stock market, issues of liquidity and uses of cash will affect year-end decisions.
Timothy Breen asked whether Congressional interventions in how universities manage their endowments will exacerbate present concerns. Bienen replied that this question engages several issues. Early concerns were raised by the September 8 Grassley-Welch Roundtable that would force universities to act like foundations and spend 5% of their endowment yearly. This was always a foolish idea because universities do not work like foundations. Moreover, university endowment growth is not disposable money: most endowment is locked up in particular restricted funds that must be employed as stipulated by the donor. The implosion in endowments has taken the steam out of the Grassley-Welch thesis, and Senator Grassley himself has retreated from his original argument. At the same time, the interventionist view has not necessarily disappeared. Questions about tuition increases linger, and there remains a disposition to be more controlling, which is not a good thing so long as universities remain well-managed institutions. Though pressures will lessen, they will not go away.
Sandro Mussa-Ivaldi asked about the impact upon grants that require matching funds. These will be affected, said Bienen, in the sense that there will be less money available, but we will be reluctant to turn away from such opportunities. Besides Federal grants of this type, there may be private donors offering grants on those terms, and we will do everything we can to meet them.
Laurie Zoloth asked if there is a strategy for fund raising in this environment. So far, said Bienen, it can be expected that this will be a poor environment in which to raise money. Last year was a relatively good year for end-of-August cash in, where the number was $217 million. For commitments, the number was even better, one of the highest commitment years ever: $276 million. We have traditionally not had reneging on pledges, but the present is so ahistoric that this could happen. He would rather expect some stretching out of a pledged timetable. Our private donors, he judged, would be very reluctant not to make good on pledges. Foundations are a different matter. They are meeting their commitments, but their spending going forward will be on a smaller base. The president of a large foundation told him that their portfolio was down $7 to 9 billion as of a few days ago. All such foundations are invested, like private universities. The most uncertain of all is the federal government: there will be a new administration in January with different priorities and different funding. The Federal Reserve and the Treasury have said they will deal with the economic crisis by printing money. We do not know what they will do, but we have to plan. We anticipate that fundraising will be down 10%; that is a nominal figure. All revenue streams will contract, and tuition income will be offset by financial aid. Because we cannot control revenue, we need to exercise prudence and restraint on the expenditure side. That said, he does not want to give up on ambitions for the University. The Trustees have mandated only that we exercise prudence in expenditures without laying down a hard figure. We will not go into deficit financing; beyond that, we have no rigid budget numbers. Further Lyrica monetization would yield cash, but in nowhere near the same quantity as it did before. Those are decisions that the Investment Committee of the Board will make with our investment managers.